West Ham Utd vs Bournemouth preview, 21 Feb 2026: xG form

21 Feb 17:30

S. Barrott

This match has been played.

See full analysis

WHU favoured at home, but only just.

WHU40%Draw27%BOU33%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

West Ham1.6Bournemouth1.4

A 0.2 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

WHU attack

LW0.59

CF0.53

RW0.35

CAM0.35

CDM0.35

CM0.29

LB0.18

CB0.53

RB0.06

PROWHU attack report PROBOU defence report

Very low intensityVery high intensity

PROWHU shape report PROBOU shape report

BOU attack

LW0.24

CF0.76

RW0.41

CAM0.18

CDM0.18

CM0.35

LB0.18

CB0.12

RB0.24

Last 6, goals vs xG

WHU6 scored from 10.9 xG-4.9

BOU10 scored from 10.3 xG-0.3

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Very lightMiddling physicality

Sits deeperPresses higher

Counter-pressesHeavy counter-press

Fairly directVery direct

Takes risksVery bold

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

WHU Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Bowen	Corners R	57	3.8
Fernandes	Free kicks	48	1.0
Summerville	Corners L, 3 short	30	1.8
Potts	Corners L and R, 2 short	25	0.7
Paquetà	Penalties	2	1.5
Bowen	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

56%

Free kicks

17%

BOU Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Hill	Throw-ins	64	0.7
Tavernier	Corners L and R, 18 short	62	2.1
Scott	Corners L and R, 2 short	56	1.4
Semenyo

PROWHU set pieces PROBOU set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

32%

Throw-ins

32%

West Ham UtdWest Ham
0-0
BournemouthBournemouth

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers