Tottenham vs Newcastle Utd preview, 10 Feb 2026: xG form

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Thiaw 50'
Ramsey 67'

Premier League 2025/2026

GW26

10 Feb 19:30

A. Taylor

This match has been played.

See full analysis

TOT favoured at home, but only just.

TOT42%Draw29%NEW30%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Tottenham1.5Newcastle1.2

A 0.3 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

TOT attack

LW0.59

CF0.35

RW0.18

CAM0.35

CDM0.29

CM0.06

LB0.06

CB0.18

RB0.12

PROTOT attack report PRONEW defence report

Possession-basedMixed build-up

PROTOT shape report PRONEW shape report

NEW attack

LW0.18

CF0.53

RW0.12

CAM0.18

CDM0.24

CM0.12

LB0.06

CB0.29

RB0.00

Last 6, goals vs xG

TOT8 scored from 8.8 xG-0.8

NEW8 scored from 9.5 xG-1.5

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Sits offMixed response

Sits deeperMid-block

Fairly physicalFairly physical

High intensityVery high intensity

Middling controlTechnical

Measured riskMeasured risk

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

TOT Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Porro	Corners L and R, 8 short	73	3.5
Porro	Free kicks	50	1.6
Kudus	Corners R, 5 short	49	1.5
Tel	Corners L and R, 2 short	49	3.9
Danso	Throw-ins	42	0.4
Simons	Corners L and R, 6 short	33	1.6

Share of set-play xG

Corners

64%

Throw-ins

28%

NEW Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Tonali	Corners L and R, 4 short	49	1.5
Trippier	Corners L and R, 5 short	47	1.2
Guimarães	Corners L and R, 4 short	43	3.4
Gordon

PROTOT set pieces PRONEW set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

44%

Free kicks

21%

TottenhamTottenham
1-2
Newcastle UtdNewcastle
Gray 63'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers