Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham preview, 14 Dec 2025: xG form

14 Dec 14:00

S. Barrott

This match has been played.

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NFO favoured at home, but only just.

NFO42%Draw30%TOT28%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Forest1.4Tottenham1.1

A 0.3 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

NFO attack

LW0.31

CF0.50

RW0.38

CAM0.13

CDM0.25

CM0.19

LB0.06

CB0.13

RB0.19

PRONFO attack report PROTOT defence report

Low intensityVery high intensity

PRONFO shape report PROTOT shape report

TOT attack

LW0.59

CF0.35

RW0.18

CAM0.35

CDM0.29

CM0.06

LB0.06

CB0.18

RB0.12

Last 6, goals vs xG

NFO16 scored from 9.7 xG+6.3

TOT8 scored from 8.8 xG-0.8

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Middling physicalityFairly physical

Sits offMixed response

Sits deeperSits deeper

Mixed build-upFairly direct

Measured riskMeasured risk

Middling controlMiddling control

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

NFO Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Anderson	Corners L and R, 12 short	88	2.8
Anderson	Free kicks	57	0.6
Hutchinson	Corners R, 11 short	46	1.3
Anderson	Penalties	1	0.8
Gibbs-White	Penalties	1	0.8
Jesus	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

42%

Throw-ins

32%

TOT Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Porro	Corners L and R, 8 short	73	3.5
Porro	Free kicks	50	1.6
Kudus	Corners R, 5 short	49	1.5
Tel

PRONFO set pieces PROTOT set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

64%

Throw-ins

28%

Nottingham ForestForest
3-0
TottenhamTottenham
Hudson-Odoi 27'
Hudson-Odoi 49'
Sangaré

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers