Nottingham Forest vs Burnley Match Context & xG Analysis 25/26 (18 Apr 2026)

Pre-Match Signals(3 detected)

NFO underperforming xG

Neither team keeps clean sheets regularly

NFO solid vs BUR vulnerable

Match Context

League standings, head-to-head and recent form

#		Team	P	Pts
17	143	Nottingham Forest	22	22	-13
19	201	Burnley	23	15	-19

Nottingham Forest

Wasteful in front of goal

•Scoring 0.7 goals per match (expected 1.0)
•Conceding 1.5 goals per match (expected 1.4)

Burnley

Defence outperforming xGANegative xG balance

•Scoring 1.0 goals per match (expected 0.9)
•Conceding 1.7 goals per match (expected 2.3)

Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based

Direct

Low Block

High Press

Nottingham Forest

Burnley

Tactical Analysis

See attacking zones, vulnerabilities, and players to watch.

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Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

NFO(16 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.13

0.5011th

0.318th

0.387th

0.1314th

0.1911th

0.258th

0.0610th

0.1310th

0.195th

BUR(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.82

0.763rd

0.535th

0.472nd

0.1215th

0.1812th

0.294th

0.0613th

0.245th

0.186th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Positional Vulnerabilities

See where each team concedes goals by position.

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Did either side beat their xG?

Which weakness got exposed?

Did finishing luck hold?

Come back after the final whistle.

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Nottingham ForestForest vs BurnleyBurnley

Pre-Match Signals(3 detected)

Match Context

League Positions

Expected Goals

Tactical Analysis