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See full analysisNEW favoured at home, but only just.
NEW8 scored from 9.5 xG-1.5
NFO16 scored from 9.7 xG+6.33% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split
0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.
Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.
| NEW Player | Routine | Taken | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tonali | Corners L and R, 4 short | 49 | 1.5 |
| Trippier | Corners L and R, 5 short | 47 | 1.2 |
| Guimarães | Corners L and R, 4 short | 43 | 3.4 |
| Gordon | Penalties | 3 | 2.3 |
| Guimarães | Penalties | 2 | 1.5 |
| Woltemade | Penalties | 1 | 0.8 |
| NFO Player | Routine | Taken | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson | Corners L and R, 12 short | 88 | 2.8 |
| Anderson | Free kicks | 57 | 0.6 |
| Hutchinson | Corners R, 11 short | 46 | 1.3 |
| Anderson |
| Penalties |
| 1 |
| 0.8 |
| Gibbs-White | Penalties | 1 | 0.8 |
| Jesus | Penalties | 1 | 0.8 |
