Manchester City 3-2 Leeds Utd Match Context & xG Analysis 25/26 (29 Nov 2025)

Pre-Match Signals(5 detected)

MCI underperforming xG

Combined xG suggests 3.5+ goals likely

MCI dominant at home, LEE struggle away

LEE direct vs MCI possession

MCI high press vs LEE risk-taking buildup

Match Context

League standings, head-to-head and recent form

#		Team	P	Pts
2	31	Manchester City	22	43	+24
16	610	Leeds Utd	22	25	-7

Manchester City

Wasteful in front of goalDefence outperforming xGADominant on xG balance

•Scoring 1.2 goals per match (expected 2.1)
•Conceding 0.8 goals per match (expected 1.6)

Leeds United

Defence outperforming xGA

•Scoring 1.7 goals per match (expected 1.8)
•Conceding 1.2 goals per match (expected 1.5)

Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based

Direct

Low Block

High Press

Manchester City

Leeds United

Tactical Analysis

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Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

MCI(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.29

0.1820th

0.592nd

0.0619th

0.1811th

0.0020th

0.1814th

0.0616th

0.0020th

0.0618th

LEE(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.82

0.597th

0.2910th

0.531st

0.353rd

0.249th

0.0614th

0.1213th

0.411st

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Positional Vulnerabilities

See where each team concedes goals by position.

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Did either side beat their xG?

Did finishing luck hold?

Who controlled the tempo?

Come back after the final whistle.

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Manchester CityMan City 3 - 2 Leeds UtdLeeds Utd

Expected Goals

Pre-Match Signals(5 detected)

Match Context

League Positions

Expected Goals

Tactical Analysis

Manchester City

Attacking Zones

Tactical Analysis

Positional Vulnerabilities

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Head to Head

Recent Form

Leeds United

Players to Watch