Liverpool vs Brighton preview, 13 Dec 2025: xG form

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This match has been played.

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LIV favoured at home, but only just.

LIV47%Draw28%BHA25%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Liverpool1.6Brighton1.2

A 0.5 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

LIV attack

LW0.29

CF0.35

RW0.41

CAM0.18

CDM0.24

CM0.29

LB0.29

CB0.12

RB0.18

PROLIV attack report PROBRI defence report

Very lightFairly physical

PROLIV shape report PROBRI shape report

Premier League 2025/2026

GW16

13 Dec 15:00

C. Pawson

BRI attack

LW0.12

CF0.71

RW0.18

CAM0.24

CDM0.06

CM0.24

LB0.12

CB0.06

RB0.06

Last 6, goals vs xG

LIV11 scored from 9.9 xG+1.1

BHA9 scored from 11.2 xG-2.2

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

High intensityVery high intensity

Mixed responseCounter-presses

Patient build-upPossession-based

Very cautiousCautious

TechnicalVery technical

Even widthEven width

Very high lineVery high line

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

LIV Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Szoboszlai	Corners L and R, 12 short	105	4.2
Salah	Corners R, 6 short	58	1.7
Szoboszlai	Free kicks	55	1.5
Gakpo	Corners L and R	32	1.2
Salah	Penalties	1	0.8
Szoboszlai	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Throw-ins

39%

Corners

36%

BRI Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Groß	Corners L and R, 4 short	57	1.6
Cuyper	Corners R, 1 short	35	3.4
Minteh	Corners L and R, 7 short	31	0.6
Welbeck

PROLIV set pieces PROBRI set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

47%

Penalties

21%

LiverpoolLiverpool
2-0
BrightonBrighton
Ekitiké 0'
Ekitiké 59'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers