Everton vs Wolverhampton preview, 7 Jan 2026: xG form

07 Jan 19:30

T. Kirk

This match has been played.

See full analysis

EVE favoured at home, but only just.

EVE50%Draw29%WOL21%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Everton1.5Wolves0.9

A 0.6 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

EVE attack

LW0.06

CF0.47

RW0.35

CAM0.12

CDM0.18

CM0.24

LB0.18

CB0.29

RB0.29

PROEVE attack report PROWOL defence report

Deep blockPresses higher

PROEVE shape report PROWOL shape report

WOL attack

LW0.35

CF0.71

RW0.47

CAM0.35

CDM0.18

CM0.71

LB0.35

CB0.06

RB0.29

Last 6, goals vs xG

EVE8 scored from 8.8 xG-0.8

WOL3 scored from 7.8 xG-4.8

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Very low intensityMiddling intensity

Fairly physicalPhysically dominant

Mixed responseCounter-presses

Very directVery direct

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

EVE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Garner	Corners L and R, 8 short	107	4.7
O'Brien	Throw-ins	59	0.4
Garner	Free kicks	56	1.6
Mykolenko	Throw-ins	51	0.6
Dewsbury-Hall	Corners R, 1 short	43	1.9
Ndiaye	Penalties	2	1.5

Share of set-play xG

Corners

43%

Throw-ins

26%

WOL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Mosquera	Throw-ins	60	1.2
Bueno	Corners L and R, 4 short	44	2.4
Larsen	Penalties	2	1.5
Hee-Chan

PROEVE set pieces PROWOL set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

45%

Throw-ins

21%

EvertonEverton
1-1
WolverhamptonWolves
Keane 16'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers