Crystal Palace vs Wolverhampton preview, 22 Feb 2026: xG form

22 Feb 14:00

T. Kirk

This match has been played.

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CRY favoured at home, but only just.

CRY52%Draw28%WOL20%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

C. Palace1.6Wolves0.9

A 0.7 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

CRY attack

LW0.18

CF0.47

RW0.24

CAM0.24

CDM0.12

CM0.06

LB0.06

CB0.06

RB0.06

PROCRY attack report PROWOL defence report

Central playVery wide

PROCRY shape report PROWOL shape report

WOL attack

LW0.35

CF0.71

RW0.47

CAM0.35

CDM0.18

CM0.71

LB0.35

CB0.06

RB0.29

Last 6, goals vs xG

CRY6 scored from 9.3 xG-3.3

WOL3 scored from 7.8 xG-4.8

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Mixed responseHeavy counter-press

Fairly directVery direct

Fairly physicalPhysically dominant

Very low intensityLow intensity

Takes risksVery bold

Deep blockDeep block

Very scrappyVery scrappy

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

CRY Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Richards	Throw-ins	101	1.1
Lerma	Throw-ins	50	0.4
Wharton	Corners L and R, 1 short	44	1.6
Mateta	Penalties	4	3.0
Sarr	Penalties	3	2.3
Devenny	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

49%

Penalties

24%

WOL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Mosquera	Throw-ins	60	1.2
Bueno	Corners L and R, 4 short	44	2.4
Larsen	Penalties	2	1.5
Hee-Chan

PROCRY set pieces PROWOL set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

45%

Throw-ins

21%

Crystal PalaceC. Palace
1-0
WolverhamptonWolves
Guessand 89'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers