Chelsea vs Leeds Utd Match Context & xG Analysis 25/26 (10 Feb 2026)

Pre-Match Signals(4 detected)

Combined xG suggests 3.8+ goals likely

Both teams' recent goals diverge from xG

LEE solid vs CHE vulnerable

LEE direct vs CHE possession

Match Context

League standings, head-to-head and recent form

#		Team	P	Pts
5	61	Chelsea	23	37	+14
16	412	Leeds Utd	23	26	-7

Chelsea

Wasteful in front of goalDefence outperforming xGA

•Scoring 1.7 goals per match (expected 2.4)
•Conceding 1.3 goals per match (expected 2.1)

Leeds United

Wasteful in front of goal

•Scoring 1.2 goals per match (expected 1.6)
•Conceding 1.2 goals per match (expected 1.4)

Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based

Direct

Low Block

High Press

Chelsea

Leeds United

Tactical Analysis

See attacking zones, vulnerabilities, and players to watch.

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Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

CHE(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.71

0.598th

0.1218th

0.1817th

0.0618th

0.296th

0.0620th

0.129th

0.189th

0.1210th

LEE(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.82

0.597th

0.2910th

0.531st

0.353rd

0.249th

0.0614th

0.1213th

0.411st

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Positional Vulnerabilities

See where each team concedes goals by position.

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Did either side beat their xG?

Which weakness got exposed?

Who controlled the tempo?

Come back after the final whistle.

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ChelseaChelsea vs Leeds UtdLeeds Utd

Pre-Match Signals(4 detected)

Match Context

League Positions

Expected Goals

Tactical Analysis

Chelsea

Attacking Zones

Tactical Analysis

Positional Vulnerabilities

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Head to Head

Recent Form

Leeds United

Players to Watch