Burnley vs Manchester City Match Context & xG Analysis 25/26 (25 Apr 2026)

Pre-Match Signals(5 detected)

MCI underperforming xG

Combined xG suggests 3.2+ goals likely

MCI solid vs BUR vulnerable

MCI high press vs BUR risk-taking buildup

BUR direct vs MCI possession

Match Context

League standings, head-to-head and recent form

#		Team	P	Pts
2	2	Manchester City	23	46	+26
19	201	Burnley	23	15	-19

Burnley

Defence outperforming xGANegative xG balance

•Scoring 1.0 goals per match (expected 0.9)
•Conceding 1.7 goals per match (expected 2.3)

Manchester City

Wasteful in front of goalDefence outperforming xGA

•Scoring 1.0 goals per match (expected 1.8)
•Conceding 0.8 goals per match (expected 1.5)

Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based

Direct

Low Block

High Press

Burnley

Manchester City

Tactical Analysis

See attacking zones, vulnerabilities, and players to watch.

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Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

BUR(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.82

0.763rd

0.535th

0.472nd

0.1215th

0.1812th

0.294th

0.0613th

0.245th

0.186th

MCI(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.29

0.1820th

0.592nd

0.0619th

0.1811th

0.0020th

0.1814th

0.0616th

0.0020th

0.0618th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Positional Vulnerabilities

See where each team concedes goals by position.

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Did either side beat their xG?

Which pressing style came out on top?

Which weakness got exposed?

Come back after the final whistle.

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BurnleyBurnley vs Manchester CityMan City

Pre-Match Signals(5 detected)

Match Context

League Positions

Expected Goals

Tactical Analysis

Burnley

Attacking Zones

Tactical Analysis

Positional Vulnerabilities

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Head to Head

Recent Form

Manchester City

Players to Watch