Aston Villa vs West Ham Utd preview, 22 Mar 2026: xG form

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This match has been played.

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AVL favoured at home, but only just.

AVL48%Draw27%WHU25%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Villa1.7West Ham1.2

A 0.5 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

AVL attack

LW0.12

CF0.29

RW0.18

CAM0.06

CDM0.29

CM0.18

LB0.12

CB0.24

RB0.00

PROAVL attack report PROWHU defence report

CautiousVery bold

PROAVL shape report PROWHU shape report

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Player	Rating					Rotation
O. WatkinsCF · AVL	7.1#6	35%	8%	0.66	78%	Low	0.32
M. RogersCAM · AVL	--	25%	12%	0.42	100%	Low	0.33
J. BowenWG · WHU	--	19%	14%	0.36	100%	Low	0.16
T. SoučekCM · WHU	--	18%	3%	0.27	86%	Medium	0.32
Taty CastellanosCF · WHU	6.7-	16%	4%	0.33	67%	Medium	0.38
T. AbrahamCF · AVL	6.1-	15%	4%	0.61	34%	High	0.00

39 more players

AVL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Cash	Corners L and R, 4 short	44	1.6
Cash	Throw-ins	41	0.2
Digne	Corners L and R, 9 short	40	2.4
Tielemans	Free kicks	35	0.7
McGinn	Corners L and R, 4 short	28	0.7
Tielemans	Corners L and R, 8 short	26	1.1

Share of set-play xG

Corners

54%

Throw-ins

27%

WHU Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Bowen	Corners R	57	3.8
Fernandes	Free kicks	48	1.0
Summerville	Corners L, 3 short	30	1.8
Potts

PROAVL set pieces PROWHU set pieces

Aston VillaVilla
2-0
West Ham UtdWest Ham
McGinn 14'
Watkins 67'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers