Aston Villa 2-1 Burnley Match Context & xG Analysis 25/26 (05 Oct 2025)

Pre-Match Signals(5 detected)

Match Context

League standings, head-to-head and recent form

#		Team	P	Pts
3	118	Aston Villa	22	43	+8
19	201	Burnley	22	14	-19

Aston Villa

Wasteful in front of goalDefence outperforming xGA

•Scoring 1.3 goals per match (expected 1.7)
•Conceding 1.3 goals per match (expected 1.8)

Burnley

Defence outperforming xGANegative xG balance

•Scoring 0.8 goals per match (expected 0.8)
•Conceding 1.5 goals per match (expected 2.2)

Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based

Direct

Low Block

High Press

Aston Villa

Burnley

Tactical Analysis

See attacking zones, vulnerabilities, and players to watch.

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Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

AVL(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.47

0.2917th

0.1217th

0.1816th

0.0617th

0.1813th

0.296th

0.128th

0.246th

0.0019th

BUR(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.82

0.763rd

0.535th

0.472nd

0.1215th

0.1812th

0.294th

0.0613th

0.245th

0.186th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Positional Vulnerabilities

See where each team concedes goals by position.

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Did either side beat their xG?

Who controlled the tempo?

Come back after the final whistle.

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Aston VillaVilla 2 - 1 BurnleyBurnley

Expected Goals

Pre-Match Signals(5 detected)

Match Context

League Positions

Expected Goals

Tactical Analysis

Aston Villa

Attacking Zones

Tactical Analysis

Positional Vulnerabilities

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Head to Head

Recent Form

Burnley

Players to Watch