Wolverhampton vs Everton preview, 8 Mar 2025: xG form

08 Mar 20:00

S. Attwell

This match has been played.

See full analysis

WOL favoured at home, but only just.

WOL39%Draw28%EVE33%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Wolves1.2Everton1.1

A 0.1 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROWOL attack report PROEVE defence report

Central playVery wide

PROWOL shape report PROEVE shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

WOL7 scored from 8.1 xG-1.1

EVE8 scored from 6.8 xG+1.2

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Sits offCounter-presses

Middling physicalityPhysically dominant

Mixed build-upVery direct

Measured riskVery bold

Very scrappyMiddling control

Low intensityMiddling intensity

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

WOL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Cunha	Corners L and R, 4 short	73	2.2
Cunha	Free kicks	34	1.0
Aït-Nouri	Corners L and R, 2 short	30	1.0
Sarabia	Corners L and R, 1 short	24	0.7
Sarabia	Free kicks	23	0.3
Aït-Nouri	Free kicks	13	0.6

Share of set-play xG

Corners

42%

Throw-ins

34%

EVE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
McNeil	Corners L and R, 4 short	45	1.7
McNeil	Free kicks	33	1.1
Harrison	Corners R, 2 short	32	1.8
Lindstrøm

PROWOL set pieces PROEVE set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

47%

Free kicks

22%

WolverhamptonWolves
1-1
EvertonEverton
Munetsi 39'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers