Leicester City vs Newcastle Utd preview, 7 Apr 2025: xG form

This match has been played.

See full analysis

NEW clear favourites away from home.

LEI19%Draw20%NEW62%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Leicester1.1Newcastle2.2

A 1.1 xG edge, roughly a three-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROLeicester City attack report PRONEW defence report

Deep blockPresses higher

PROLeicester City shape report PRONEW shape report

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Player	Rating					Rotation
H. BarnesWG · NEW	--	24%	12%	0.75	54%	Medium	1.09
JoelintonCM · NEW	--	23%	9%	0.48	74%	Low	0.29
J. MurphyWG · NEW	--	19%	21%	0.64	70%	Low	1.31
Bruno GuimarãesCM · NEW	--	18%	18%	0.40	99%	Low	0.41
D. BurnCB · NEW	--	13%	5%	0.19	100%	Low	0.17
F. SchärCB · NEW	--	13%	4%	0.17	100%	Low	0.01

39 more players

Leicester City Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Khannouss	Corners L and R, 6 short	36	0.6
Ayew	Corners L and R, 2 short	28	1.1
Buonanotte	Corners L and R, 5 short	26	1.0
Khannouss	Free kicks	23	0.8
Vardy	Penalties	2	1.5
Ayew	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

38%

Free kicks

28%

NEW Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Trippier	Corners L and R, 12 short	61	1.6
Hall	Corners L and R, 6 short	56	2.1
Gordon	Corners L and R, 8 short	53	1.2
Hall

PROLeicester City set pieces PRONEW set pieces

Leicester CityLeicester
0-3
Newcastle UtdNewcastle

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers