Ipswich Town vs Chelsea preview, 30 Dec 2024: xG form

30 Dec 19:45

J. Brooks

This match has been played.

See full analysis

CHE clear favourites away from home.

IPS19%Draw22%CHE59%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Ipswich1.0Chelsea2.0

A 0.9 xG edge, roughly a three-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROIpswich Town attack report PROCHE defence report

Deep blockPresses higher

PROIpswich Town shape report PROCHE shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

IPS3 scored from 6.6 xG-3.6

CHE8 scored from 8.4 xG-0.4

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Very scrappyVery technical

Very cautiousTakes risks

Very low intensityHigh intensity

Very lightFairly physical

Possession-basedFairly direct

Very centralEven width

Drops right offSits off

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Ipswich Town Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Davis	Corners L and R, 10 short	80	2.4
Davis	Free kicks	45	1.7
Cajuste	Throw-ins	35	0.7
Morsy	Free kicks	21	0.4
Davis	Throw-ins	13	0.3
Delap	Penalties	2	1.5

Share of set-play xG

Corners

44%

Free kicks

23%

CHE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Fernández	Corners L and R, 17 short	75	1.3
Palmer	Corners L and R, 22 short	74	2.9
Neto	Corners L and R, 19 short	55	1.0
Palmer

PROIpswich Town set pieces PROCHE set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Free kicks

30%

Corners

29%

Ipswich TownIpswich
2-0
ChelseaChelsea
Delap (P) 11'
Hutchinson 52'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers