Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth preview, 19 Apr 2025: xG form

This match has been played.

See full analysis

BOU favoured away from home, but only just.

CRY37%Draw25%BOU38%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

C. Palace1.4Bournemouth1.4

Next to nothing between them on expected goals, this one could go either way.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROCRY attack report PROBOU defence report

Low intensityVery high intensity

PROCRY shape report PROBOU shape report

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Player	Rating					Rotation
EvanilsonCF · BOU	--	39%	6%	0.61	92%	Low	0.46
I. SarrWG · CRY	--	28%	12%	0.49	96%	Low	0.27
J. MatetaCF · CRY	--	25%	6%	0.49	72%	Low	0.76
D. MuñozFB · CRY	--	14%	9%	0.25	100%	Low	0.05
E. NketiahCF · CRY	--	13%	3%	0.57	30%	High	0.23
J. LermaCM · CRY	--	10%	6%	0.17	94%	Low	0.08

29 more players

CRY Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Eze	Free kicks	62	1.8
Eze	Corners L and R, 10 short	61	1.3
Hughes	Corners L and R, 7 short	54	3.7
Lerma	Throw-ins	39	0.5
Mateta	Penalties	2	1.5
Eze	Penalties	2	1.5

Share of set-play xG

Corners

49%

Throw-ins

19%

BOU Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Cook	Corners L and R, 7 short	76	3.0
Tavernier	Corners L and R, 7 short	48	1.2
Cook	Free kicks	36	0.6
Kluivert

PROCRY set pieces PROBOU set pieces

Crystal PalaceC. Palace
0-0
BournemouthBournemouth

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers