Brentford vs Everton preview, 26 Feb 2025: xG form

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15306075+5'+5'

1-0

1-1

Premier League 2024/2025

GW27

26 Feb 19:30

S. Hooper

This match has been played.

See full analysis

BRE favoured at home, but only just.

BRE39%Draw26%EVE35%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Brentford1.4Everton1.3

A 0.1 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROBRE attack report PROEVE defence report

Low intensityMiddling intensity

PROBRE shape report PROEVE shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

BRE14 scored from 11.1 xG+2.9

EVE8 scored from 6.8 xG+1.2

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Fairly directVery direct

Takes risksVery bold

Mid-blockPresses higher

Counter-pressesCounter-presses

Physically dominantPhysically dominant

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

BRE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Mbeumo	Corners L and R, 15 short	86	4.0
Damsgaard	Corners L, 8 short	59	1.5
Mbeumo	Free kicks	39	0.7
Schade	Throw-ins	34	0.5
Damsgaard	Free kicks	27	0.8
Mbeumo	Penalties	6	4.6

Share of set-play xG

Throw-ins

41%

Corners

26%

EVE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
McNeil	Corners L and R, 4 short	45	1.7
McNeil	Free kicks	33	1.1
Harrison	Corners R, 2 short	32	1.8
Lindstrøm

PROBRE set pieces PROEVE set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

47%

Free kicks

22%

BrentfordBrentford
1-1
EvertonEverton
Wissa 48'
1.48-1.12
O'Brien 76'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers

BrentfordBrentford1-1EvertonEvertonWissa 48'1.48-1.12O'Brien 76'