Arsenal vs Leicester City preview, 28 Sep 2024: xG form

Viewing the 2024/25 seasonGo to 2026/27

Justin 46'
Justin 62'

Premier League 2024/2025

GW6

28 Sep 14:00

S. Barrott

This match has been played.

See full analysis

ARS clear favourites at home.

ARS78%Draw14%LEI8%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Arsenal2.6Leicester0.7

A 1.9 xG edge, roughly a four-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

A pitch-shaped map per side, shaded by how much each position concedes against them.After gameweek 1

PROARS attack report PROLeicester City defence report

Deep blockVery high line

PROARS shape report PROLeicester City shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

ARS12 scored from 11.5 xG+0.5

LEI6 scored from 5.6 xG+0.4

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Very cautiousTakes risks

ScrappyVery technical

Low intensityHigh intensity

Central playWide play

Patient build-upMixed build-up

LightMiddling physicality

Sits offMixed response

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

ARS Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Rice	Corners L and R, 11 short	108	5.6
Saka	Corners R, 5 short	64	3.6
Rice	Free kicks	52	1.3
Ødegaard	Corners R, 1 short	37	1.3
Ødegaard	Penalties	1	0.8
Saka	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

56%

Throw-ins

23%

Leicester City Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Khannouss	Corners L and R, 6 short	36	0.6
Ayew	Corners L and R, 2 short	28	1.1
Buonanotte	Corners L and R, 5 short	26	1.0
Khannouss

PROARS set pieces PROLeicester City set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

38%

Free kicks

28%

ArsenalArsenal
4-2
Leicester CityLeicester
Martinelli 19'
Trossard 45'
Ndidi (OG)

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers