Tottenham vs Everton preview, 23 Dec 2023: xG form

23 Dec 15:00

S. Attwell

This match has been played.

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TOT favoured at home, but only just.

TOT50%Draw22%EVE28%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Tottenham2.1Everton1.5

A 0.6 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

TOT attack

LW0.11

CF0.82

RW0.50

CAM0.16

CDM0.16

CM0.42

LB0.11

CB0.18

RB0.05

PROTOT attack report PROEVE defence report

Very lightPhysically dominant

PROTOT shape report PROEVE shape report

EVE attack

LW0.21

CF0.58

RW0.29

CAM0.26

CDM0.13

CM0.13

LB0.16

CB0.13

RB0.05

Last 6, goals vs xG

TOT9 scored from 11.4 xG-2.4

EVE8 scored from 9.2 xG-1.2

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Very scrappyVery technical

Patient build-upFairly direct

Sits offHeavy counter-press

High intensityVery high intensity

Presses higherVery high line

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

TOT Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Porro	Corners L and R, 25 short	99	3.9
Maddison	Corners L and R, 16 short	97	2.2
Maddison	Free kicks	42	1.9
Porro	Free kicks	28	1.1
Kulusevski	Corners L and R, 11 short	20	0.6
Heung-Min	Penalties	2	1.5

Share of set-play xG

Corners

43%

Throw-ins

28%

EVE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
McNeil	Corners L and R, 6 short	82	3.6
Garner	Corners L and R, 2 short	59	4.6
McNeil	Free kicks	41	2.0
Garner

PROTOT set pieces PROEVE set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

51%

Free kicks

28%

TottenhamTottenham
2-1
EvertonEverton
Richarlison 8'
Heung-Min 17'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers