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See full analysisNEW clear favourites at home.
NEW16 scored from 14.4 xG+1.6
BUR9 scored from 10.8 xG-1.83% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split
0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.
Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.
| NEW Player | Routine | Taken | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trippier | Corners L and R, 12 short | 111 | 4.1 |
| Trippier | Free kicks | 73 | 3.3 |
| Gordon | Corners L and R, 11 short | 48 | 1.8 |
| Isak | Penalties | 6 | 4.6 |
| Wilson | Penalties | 2 | 1.5 |
| Gordon | Penalties | 1 | 0.8 |
| BUR Player | Routine | Taken | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brownhill | Corners L and R, 16 short | 48 | 1.8 |
| Larsen | Corners L and R, 15 short | 47 | 1.3 |
| Gudmundsson | Corners L and R, 3 short | 38 | 1.8 |
| Rodriguez |
| Penalties |
| 1 |
| 0.8 |
| Larsen | Penalties | 1 | 0.8 |
| Amdouni | Penalties | 1 | 0.8 |
