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Fixtures & Results›GW23›BHA 4-1 CRY

Difficulty Ratings

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Brighton vs Crystal Palace preview, 3 Feb 2024: xG form

Brighton

4-11.53-0.43

C. Palace

Dunk 2'
Hinshelwood 32'
Buonanotte 33'
Pedro 84'

Mateta 71'

BrightonBrighton
4-1
Crystal PalaceC. Palace
Dunk 2'
Hinshelwood 32'
Buonanotte

15306075+6'+4'

1-0

2-0

3-0

3-1

4-1

Summary
Report
Players
Stats
Line-ups

Preview

This match has been played.

See full analysis

Model verdict

High confidence

BRI favoured at home, but only just.

Based on 76 matches played this season.

33'

Pedro 84'

1.53-0.43

Mateta 71'

Premier League 2023/2024

GW23

03 Feb 15:00

S. Hooper

BHA46%Draw26%CRY28%

Projected xG

Brighton1.5

C. Palace1.1

A 0.4 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

BRI attack

LW0.37

CF0.68

RW0.37

CAM0.11

CDM0.13

CM0.26

LB0.18

CB0.13

RB0.18

CRY attack

LW0.39

CF0.50

RW0.37

CAM0.34

CDM0.16

CM0.29

LB0.11

CB0.13

RB0.21

PROBRI attack report PROCRY defence report

Position vs Expected Position

BHA11th → xPos 8th

CRY10th → xPos 12th

table posxPosition

Last 6, goals vs xG

BHA3 scored from 10.3 xG-7.3

CRY20 scored from 11.5 xG+8.5

League table, expected points

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Last 50 matches

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Style ranks

BrightonC. Palace

Settled · 38 GW

Very lightPhysically dominant

Drops right offCounter-presses

ScrappyVery technical

Very cautiousTakes risks

Very centralWide play

Possession-basedMixed build-up

Sits deeperMid-block

Low intensityMiddling intensity

PROBRI shape report PROCRY shape report

Crystal Palace form

DLLDW

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Key players

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Set-piece takers

BRI Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Groß	Corners L and R, 12 short	132	4.8
Groß	Free kicks	69	1.7
Gilmour	Corners L and R	20	1.6
March	Corners L and R, 3 short	11	0.2
Pedro	Penalties	5	3.8
Groß	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

39%

Throw-ins

23%

CRY Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Eze	Corners L and R, 15 short	74	3.1
Eze	Free kicks	42	2.0
Olise	Corners L and R, 4 short	40	0.7
Mateta

PROBRI set pieces PROCRY set pieces

Penalties

1.5

Eze

Penalties

0.8

Olise

Penalties

0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

45%

Free kicks

26%

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Style ranks

Head-to-head · last 5

Key players

Set-piece takers